About #1 Winning Bet
#1 Winning Bet is a transparent sports analysis platform built for sports fans who want more than a hunch. Everything we provide is math from our scientific sports-data algorithm, not a guess. We combine public sports data, play-by-play efficiency metrics, and transparent model stages to give you clear projections for sports games.
Our Approach
- Data-driven: We use team-level EPA, points for/allowed, pace, rest, travel, and market lines to generate projections.
- Transparent: Every projection card shows the model stage and confidence, so you know whether the model is in pre-season, early season, or live-season mode.
- Honest: We do not promise wins or guaranteed profits. Our models are backtested, but sports are inherently uncertain.
What We Offer
- One free Pick each calendar week for registered users (resets Monday UTC; unused free Picks do not roll over).
- Pick packages to unlock individual projections and full game markets.
What We Promise
- Transparency: We show model stage and confidence on the card so you can see how strong — or thin — the signal is, including when the honest answer is No Play.
- Ongoing review: We do not set a formula and walk away. Models are tested, challenged, and refined so we stay as close to a real edge as the data supports.
- No shortcuts: We will not dress up a weak lean as a high-confidence play, and we will not publish a model that has not cleared our validation bar.
Contact
The work behind these cards started in the 2006 NFL season. Read our journey.
Have questions? Reach out through our Contact Us page.